Gold as an Investment

We are frequently asked about gold as an investment. Sir Isaac Newton set the gold price in 1717 and it remained the same for two hundred years. The gold standard was lifted in the 1970’s and the price has fluctuated since then. The price was $40.62 in 1971 and it rose to $615 in 1980. The return from 1980 to 1990 was -4.6% (1990 price was $383.51). The return from 1990 to 2000 was -3.12% ($383.51 to $279.11). The period from 2000 – 2008 was good for gold with a return of 15.2% ($279.11 – $871.96).

Large company stocks (from Ibbotson) had a return of 9.62% from 1926 – 2008; small company stocks returned 11.67%; and long term government bonds returned 5.7%. Gold returns for the same time period returned 4.67%. Don’t forget those returns do not factor in the average inflation rate of 3%. If you bought gold in 2000, you would have out-performed stocks as the last decade has been dismal for stocks. Gold is currently at a very high price of $1,006 today, so if you are thinking of buying gold, you just might be buying high. Another drawback to investing in gold is that it is considered a collectible and is not granted favorable capital gains treatment.

Barbara Gray, CFP®

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